2
Ma Jacks Hill
6yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 124
Kilbeggan · KEPAK Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 40y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
79%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA126 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Punchestown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | BHA122 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Leopardstown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Navan | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 52% | +0.10 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 17/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 29/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |