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5

Mr Enigma

4yo Gelding · 11-11

Kilbeggan · Connellan & Noone Solicitors LLP Longford Flat Race · 2m

#1

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

77%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

1,750 gns Pillar Coral half-brother to fair hurdler Fourtowns. Sent off 125/1 but showed a fair bit of ability when third of 16 in Bellewstown bumper on debut last month, taking a keen hold. That's the best form on offer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 1574/07C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Bellewstown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength43%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20263rd125/10%87%+0.87