Fabled Spirit

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 54

Lingfield · Saint Lucia Let Her Inspire You Handicap · 1m 7f 169y

#5

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength65%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 6

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-31	Bath	6	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-06-15	Windsor	4	10th	8th	+2	2.4
2026-06-06	Lingfield	4	8th	6th	+2	4.4
2026-05-25	Leicester	4	11th	9th	+2	1.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 10

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength62%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
25/05/2026	11th	11/1	42%	9%	-0.33
06/06/2026	8th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47
15/06/2026	10th	200/1	0%	25%	+0.25
31/07/2026	3rd	17/2	55%	33%	-0.22