5

Femme Fatale

3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 59

Lingfield · Saint Lucia Let Her Inspire You Handicap · 1m 7f 169y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stoutly-bred filly improved on her first try at this trip when second of 9 in handicap (9/1) at this C&D 33 days ago, clear of rest. Player again after 2 lb rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 04/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS4/0855 @ Yarmouth 18/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f21y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0954 @ Leicester 07/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m53y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS7/1045 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m2f50y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 62 par8/045OR 626 @ Nottingham 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m6f Sft 132 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 60 par11/066OR 606 @ Lingfield 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 57 · 1m7f169y Std 127 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 57 par6/076OR 57projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-06-11Nottingham65th5th0
2026-04-08Nottingham58th7th+1
2025-10-07Leicester49th7th+2
2025-09-18Yarmouth54th3rd+1
2025-08-04Lingfield56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0818/097/108/0411/066/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength74%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/20256th11/142%38%-0.05
18/09/20254th11/142%70%+0.28
07/10/20259th13/266%0%-0.66
08/04/20268th18/15%13%+0.07
11/06/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
06/07/20262nd9/153%88%+0.35