10
Make A Splash
3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 45
Lingfield · Saint Lucia Let Her Inspire You Handicap · 1m 7f 169y
#9
Rank
Odds
200/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength92%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 3 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 3 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-19 | Goodwood | 3 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |