Man Of The Sea
10yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 52
Lingfield · Saint Lucia Let Her Inspire You Handicap · 1m 7f 169y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Bath | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Hereford | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Bath | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 11/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |