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4

Si White

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 59

Lingfield · Saint Lucia Let Her Inspire You Handicap · 1m 7f 169y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved after 6 months off on his handicap debut when bagging 10-runner event at Southwell (11f) last month and ran at least as well under a penalty when third of 12 at Wolverhampton (1½m). Steps up in trip sporting first-time blinkers and he can improve further.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength58%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 03/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m1y Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS3/0155 @ Southwell 20/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m13y Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS20/0154 @ Wolverhampton 30/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m142y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS30/0146 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 52 · 1m3f23y Std 133 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 52 par23/076OR 526 @ Wolverhampton 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 52 · 1m4f51y Std 133 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 52 par30/076OR 52projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-07-23Southwell61st1st0
2026-01-30Wolverhampton46th4th+2
2026-01-20Southwell59th8th+1
2026-01-03Lingfield56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0120/0130/0123/0730/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength99%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/01/20266th11/142%38%-0.05
20/01/20269th28/10%20%+0.20
30/01/20266th40/10%17%+0.17
23/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
30/07/20263rd5/493%82%-0.12