6

Sir Griflet

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 55

Lingfield · Saint Lucia Let Her Inspire You Handicap · 1m 7f 169y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not beaten far when fourth at Wolverhampton in June but well below that level all 3 starts since. Makes polytrack debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f23y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS11/0432 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m2f Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Salisbury 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f5y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/0535 @ Windsor 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m3f99y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 68 par6 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 60 par2/066OR 606 @ Nottingham 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m6f Sft 132 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 60 par4 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 58 · 1m3f211y GF 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 58 par25/074OR 586 @ Wolverhampton 30/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 58 · 1m4f51y Std 133 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 58 par30/076OR 58projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Wolverhampton612th12th0
2026-07-25Ascot410th8th+2
2026-06-11Nottingham66th6th0
2026-06-02Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-05-18Windsor56th5th+1
2026-05-03Salisbury35th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0418/0525/0730/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength29%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20265th14/126%33%+0.07
16/04/20265th250/10%0%0.00
03/05/20265th125/10%43%+0.43
18/05/20266th50/10%17%+0.17
02/06/20264th11/142%57%+0.15
11/06/20266th10/382%29%-0.54
25/07/202610th50/10%36%+0.36
30/07/202612th15/261%0%-0.61