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6

Sunlit Sea

3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 66

Lingfield · Hyatt Inclusive Handicap · 5f 6y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved when making all in a 3-runner 2m handicap on turf here last month and showed a good attitude to defy a penalty in a 9-runner contest at Thirsk (5f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Leading player from 3 lb higher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 03/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f21y Std 1283/1156 @ Wolverhampton 22/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 59 · 6f20y Std 134 · beat its mark22/11/2025 · OR 59 par6 @ Chelmsford City 04/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 59 · 5f Std 129 · beat its mark04/12/2025 · OR 59 par4/126OR 596 @ Newcastle 16/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 59 · 5f Std 134 · beat its mark16/12/2025 · OR 59 par6 @ Wolverhampton 30/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 60 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark30/12/2025 · OR 60 par30/126OR 606 @ Carlisle 15/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 59 · 5f182y Goo 131 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 58 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 58 par28/066OR 586 @ Lingfield 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 57 · 4f217y GF 132 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 57 · 5f Goo 137 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 57 par24/076OR 57projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Thirsk61st2nd−1
2026-07-15Lingfield61st2nd−1
2026-06-28Wolverhampton64th5th−1
2026-06-15Carlisle68th9th−1
2025-12-30Wolverhampton67th8th−1
2025-12-16Newcastle62nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1116/1228/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength66%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/20252nd33/10%75%+0.75
22/11/20253rd14/126%75%+0.49
04/12/20253rd13/266%67%+0.01
16/12/20252nd11/893%75%-0.18
30/12/20257th15/261%33%-0.27
15/06/20268th10/147%13%-0.35
28/06/20264th8/158%73%+0.15
15/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
24/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12