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4

Wyle Cop

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 67

Lingfield · Hyatt Inclusive Handicap · 5f 6y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark in 6f Wolverhampton maiden on return in March and back to form this summer, finishing a respectable fifth at Newbury early last month. However, he seemed outpaced dropped back to the minimum trip at Doncaster 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 06/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 81 · 5f Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 81 par6/094OR 814 @ Wolverhampton 03/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 78 · 6f20y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Southwell 26/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 6f16y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 78 par26/034OR 784 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 77 · 6f GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 77 par3 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 76 · 5f15y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 76 par8/053OR 765 @ Wolverhampton 29/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 73 · 7f36y Std 133 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 70 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 70 par16/065OR 705 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 70 · 6f GF 136 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Doncaster 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 69 · 5f3y GF 138 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 69 par18/075OR 69projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Doncaster55th5th0
2026-07-09Newbury55th5th0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton53rd3rd0
2026-05-29Wolverhampton59th9th0
2026-05-08Chester312th10th+2
2026-04-16Ripon413th12th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0916/0416/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength61%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/202511th10/147%0%-0.47
03/03/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
26/03/20263rd15/890%67%-0.23
16/04/202613th12/137%0%-0.37
08/05/202612th33/10%0%0.00
29/05/20269th18/15%20%+0.15
16/06/20263rd10/147%78%+0.30
09/07/20265th14/126%64%+0.37
18/07/20265th10/147%0%-0.47