Halimede
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 59
Lingfield · Bay Gardens Handicap · 1m 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-21 | Southwell | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |