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Kanzi

2yo Filly · 9-2

Lingfield · Calabash Cove EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 1y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

36,000 gns yearling, Ghaiyyath filly. Dam 1m-10.3f winner. Promising start when second of 5 in maiden at Ayr 12 days ago, green early but still laying down a strong challenge. Good opportunity of going one better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ayr 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 7f50y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/073
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Ayr32nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20262nd9/153%75%+0.22