7
Bold Suitor
9yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 71
Lingfield · Hewanorra Handicap · 7f 1y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-02 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-15 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.22 |
| 02/09/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |