
Huscal
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 81
Lingfield · Hewanorra Handicap · 7f 1y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Lingfield | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Chester | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Newmarket | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |
| 05/11/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 16/04/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 35% | -0.02 |
| 06/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |