6
Red Hat Eagle
6yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 72
Lingfield · Hewanorra Handicap · 7f 1y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Yarmouth | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 21/09/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 12/10/2024 | 3rd | 18/5 | 81% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |