1
A Lott Of Kane
3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 56
Lingfield · Rodney Bay Classified Stakes · 6f 1y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 14/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 17/03/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 11% | -0.44 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 16/5 | 83% | 70% | -0.13 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |