2
Dr Ali
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 46
Lingfield · Rodney Bay Classified Stakes · 6f 1y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 19/01/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 24/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |