6

Just King High

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 45

Lingfield · Rodney Bay Classified Stakes · 6f 1y

#3

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Just respectable efforts in handicaps at best since joining this yard and bit more needed on these terms.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Kempton 10/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 54 · 7f Sta 133 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 54 par10/126OR 546 @ Wolverhampton 06/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 50 · 7f36y Std 130 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Kempton 04/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 48 · 7f Sta 135 · beat its mark04/03/2026 · OR 48 par4/036OR 486 @ Wolverhampton 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 48 · 7f36y Std 124 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 49 · 7f14y Std 130 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 49 par11/046OR 496 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 48 · 6f Goo 124 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 47 · 7f14y Std 127 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 47 par21/056OR 476 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 46 · 6f12y GF 126 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 46 · 5f21y GF 124 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 46 par29/066OR 46projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Windsor66th6th0
2026-06-22Windsor65th5th0
2026-05-21Southwell64th4th0
2026-04-25Leicester69th9th0
2026-04-11Southwell68th8th0
2026-03-13Wolverhampton62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1213/0321/0529/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20259th11/142%27%-0.15
06/02/20269th22/10%20%+0.20
04/03/20262nd4/179%90%+0.11
13/03/20262nd9/153%86%+0.33
11/04/20268th10/382%13%-0.70
25/04/20269th12/137%11%-0.26
21/05/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
22/06/20265th16/116%60%+0.44
29/06/20266th14/126%58%+0.32