10
Paint Your Palette
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 35
Lingfield · Rodney Bay Classified Stakes · 6f 1y
#10
Rank
Odds
250/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength63%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 12.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-01-16 | Meydan | ? | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2025-12-19 | Meydan | ? | 12th | 10th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 21% | +0.16 |
| 16/01/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 250/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |