7
Rainbow Sorbet
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 48
Lingfield · Rodney Bay Classified Stakes · 6f 1y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Leicester | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-05-21 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |