2
Lady Khoz
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 61
Monmouth Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/05/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/06/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |