Sushi
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 72
Monmouth Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-08-27 | Saratoga | BHA63 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-07-31 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 21/06/2025 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 17% | -0.74 |
| 11/07/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/08/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/01/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |