Carats Forever
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 75
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-06-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2024-09-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2024-06-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2023 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 20/08/2023 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 09/09/2023 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 30/06/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 14/09/2024 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 15/06/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 18/07/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |