Lookingfortreasure
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 70
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-06-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Meadowlands | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2023 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 15/09/2023 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 14/12/2023 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 21/09/2024 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 17/05/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 07/06/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 28/06/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/07/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |