5
Pat'schromecompass
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 76
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 21/07/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |