3

She's A Bombshell

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 64

Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Monmouth Park 13/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 62 · 5f110y Fm 115 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 62 par13/07C8OR 62C6 @ Monmouth Park 24/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 68 parC0 @ Monmouth Park 13/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f Fm 11813/09C?C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 75 parC7 @ Laurel Park 12/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 70 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 70 par12/12C7OR 70C7 @ Laurel Park 27/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 66 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 66 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fm 121 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 71 par31/05C8OR 71C6 @ Monmouth Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 72 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 75 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 75 par1/08C6OR 75projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Monmouth Park?9th7th+2
2026-07-24Monmouth Park?5th3rd+2
2026-05-31Monmouth Park?8th8th0
2025-12-27Laurel Park?8th7th+1
2025-12-12Laurel Park?5th4th+1
2025-09-25Belmont At The Big A?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0725/0931/051/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20255th16/116%43%+0.27
24/08/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
13/09/20258th16/116%30%+0.14
25/09/20258th25/10%0%0.00
12/12/20255th12/137%20%-0.17
27/12/20258th12/137%13%-0.24
31/05/20268th10/147%0%-0.47
24/07/20265th8/158%20%-0.38
01/08/20269th25/10%11%+0.11