5
Bliss Street
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 60
Monmouth Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-08-22 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 09/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |