10
Mungo
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 83
Monmouth Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Meadowlands | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 11% | -0.65 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 25/01/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |