Three Percent
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Monmouth Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-01-30 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-01-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 10/05/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 30/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 07/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |