3
Air Recruit
5yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 111
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Oceanport Stakes · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
| 2025-08-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2023 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 30/09/2023 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/09/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |