7
Bonus Move
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 107
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Oceanport Stakes · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 06/06/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 28/02/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |