Neat
5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 104
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Oceanport Stakes · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 5th | +4 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 5th | +4 |
| 2025-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 19/04/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 17/05/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/08/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 18/04/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |