6

Running Bee

7yo Horse · 8-6 · OR 123

Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Oceanport Stakes · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move3
Strength76%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Keeneland 06/04/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 110 · 1m110y Gd 118 · beat its mark06/04/2024 · OR 110 par6/04C5OR 110C1 @ Pimlico 18/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 108 · 1m1f Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2024 · OR 108 parC1 @ Monmouth Park 15/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 109 · 1m1f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2024 · OR 109 par15/06C1OR 109C0 @ Monmouth Park 20/07/2024 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 109 · 1m3f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2024 · OR 109 parC5 @ Saratoga 01/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 109 · 1m110y Gd 124 · beat its mark01/09/2024 · OR 109 par1/09C5OR 109C0 @ Keeneland 05/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 112 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/10/2024 · OR 112 parC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 115 · 1m Fm 125 · beat its mark02/11/2024 · OR 115 par2/11C5OR 115C1 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 117 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/02/2025 · OR 117 parC0 @ Churchill Downs 03/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 119 · 1m1f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2025 · OR 119 par3/05C?OR 119projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-03Churchill Downs?5th0th+4
2025-02-01Tampa Bay Downs?1st-4th+4
2024-11-02Belmont At The Big A?1st1st0
2024-10-05Keeneland?4th-1th+4
2024-09-01Saratoga?1st1st0
2024-07-20Monmouth Park?6th1st+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0420/072/113/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength74%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/04/20241st13/891%100%+0.09
18/05/20243rd3/184%75%-0.09
15/06/20241st9/276%100%+0.24
20/07/20246th12/137%50%+0.13
01/09/20241st13/891%100%+0.09
05/10/20244th12/137%63%+0.26
02/11/20241st8/1196%100%+0.04
01/02/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
03/05/20255th9/276%56%-0.21