6

Running Bee
7yo Horse · 8-6 · OR 123
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Oceanport Stakes · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼3
Strength76%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2025-02-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
| 2024-11-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2024-09-01 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-07-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2024 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/05/2024 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 15/06/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 20/07/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 01/09/2024 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/10/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 02/11/2024 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 01/02/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |