2
Captain Oats
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 78
Monmouth Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |