Gold Light

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85

Monmouth Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 70y

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.4

Today:

Class gap: +1.1

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-11	Monmouth Park	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-05-17	Monmouth Park	?	4th	2nd	+2	7.8
2026-03-27	Tampa Bay Downs	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8
2026-03-06	Tampa Bay Downs	?	4th	2nd	+2	7.8
2026-02-08	Tampa Bay Downs	?	3rd	1st	+2	8.8
2026-01-17	Tampa Bay Downs	?	4th	2nd	+2	7.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 9

▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price

Trend▬

Strength96%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
17/01/2026	4th	4/1	79%	73%	-0.06
08/02/2026	3rd	10/3	82%	78%	-0.05
06/03/2026	4th	15/2	61%	70%	+0.09
27/03/2026	5th	12/1	37%	56%	+0.19
17/05/2026	4th	8/1	58%	40%	-0.18
11/07/2026	1st	9/4	88%	100%	+0.12