Prodigious
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 86
Monmouth Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 06/09/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |