Fidelightcayut
5yo Horse · 8-13 · OR 100
Monmouth Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/7
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 21/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 11/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |