9

Giant James

7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88

Monmouth Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Monmouth Park 09/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 84 par9/08C8OR 84C6 @ Monmouth Park 24/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 87 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 14/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 87 · 1m110y 121 · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 87 par14/09C8OR 87C6 @ Meadowlands 28/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 87 parC6 @ Meadowlands 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 87 par18/10C6OR 87C7 @ Monmouth Park 25/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m 117 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Monmouth Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 86 par13/06C5OR 86C7 @ Monmouth Park 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Monmouth Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m Fm 11712/07C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Monmouth Park?8th8th0
2026-06-28Monmouth Park?4th3rd+1
2026-06-13Monmouth Park?9th6th+3
2026-05-25Monmouth Park?5th4th+1
2025-10-18Meadowlands?6th4th+2
2025-09-28Meadowlands?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0828/0913/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength18%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20255th20/10%50%+0.50
24/08/20254th50/10%75%+0.75
14/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
28/09/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
18/10/20256th5/174%38%-0.36
25/05/20265th20/10%0%0.00
13/06/20269th50/10%11%+0.11
28/06/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
12/07/20268th10/147%13%-0.35