3
Jurisprudence
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85
Monmouth Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 29/01/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |