Ohana Empire
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88
Monmouth Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2025-07-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-06-29 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2024 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/05/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/06/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/06/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/07/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/08/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |