8
Peruvian Lucky
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 89
Monmouth Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.04 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 44% | -0.38 |
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |