5
Roscoe Pine
4yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 84
Monmouth Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 24/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |