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China In Your Hand

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 82

Newmarket · Newsells Park Stud Sweet Solera Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising third on Doncaster debut and made no mistake in a C&D maiden (good to firm) 4 weeks later. This is a big jump in class but she looks capable of better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 7f6y GF 12820/0624 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f GF 12818/074projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Newmarket41st5th−3
2026-06-20Doncaster23rd5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20263rd11/142%83%+0.41
18/07/20261st11/893%100%+0.07