3
Harlequin Sky
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 93
Newmarket · Newsells Park Stud Sweet Solera Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 5th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 78% | +0.73 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 125/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |