4
Martinet
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 82
Newmarket · Newsells Park Stud Sweet Solera Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 4th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |