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6

Sugar Yes Please

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 78

Newmarket · Newsells Park Stud Sweet Solera Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Both starts over 6f on firm at Newbury, building on promising debut fourth when seeing off 9 rivals last month. Will go on improving.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 12523/0644 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f GF 1289/074projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Newbury41st5th−3
2026-06-23Newbury44th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength77%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20264th12/137%67%+0.30
09/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07