7

Tie A Navyribbon

2yo Filly · 9-2

Newmarket · Newsells Park Stud Sweet Solera Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promise when 3¾ lengths third of 7 to reopposing Graceful Song on C&D debut (good to firm) debut 22 days ago but very much pitched in deep here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f GF 12817/073
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Newmarket33rd6th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20263rd100/10%67%+0.67