6

Desert Legend

2yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 74

Newmarket · William Hill Epic Boost Nursery · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form when third in novices on firm/good to firm at Windsor (6f) and Lingfield (5f). Steps up in trip for nursery debut. Not as obviously progressive as some of these.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f12y GF 13329/0642 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR - · 6f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0724 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 4f217y GF 13325/074projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Lingfield43rd3rd0
2026-07-09Newbury214th12th+2
2026-06-29Windsor43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/069/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength22%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
09/07/202614th7/282%24%-0.58
25/07/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10