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2

Eabha

2yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 81

Newmarket · William Hill Epic Boost Nursery · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

37%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Space Blues filly who was beaten at short odds at Chepstow in June but made no mistake when stepped up to 7f at Epsom (good to firm) last month. Did it readily and should have more to offer now switched to a nursery.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f110y GF 1281/0644 @ Chepstow 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f16y Goo 12815/0644 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 81 · 7f3y GF 128 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 81 par9/074OR 81projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Epsom Downs41st1st0
2026-06-15Chepstow43rd3rd0
2026-06-01Newbury43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0615/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength38%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20263rd18/15%82%+0.77
15/06/20263rd1/398%60%-0.38
09/07/20261st4/596%100%+0.04