Rhodes Runner

2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 76

Newmarket · William Hill Epic Boost Nursery · 7f

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C3.3

Today: 4

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-23	Doncaster	4	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-02	Kempton	5	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8
2026-06-06	Doncaster	2	3rd	1st	+2	9.4
2026-05-03	Salisbury	2	4th	2nd	+2	8.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 8

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength50%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
03/05/2026	4th	1/1	95%	40%	-0.55
06/06/2026	3rd	11/4	86%	60%	-0.26
02/07/2026	2nd	15/8	90%	86%	-0.04
23/07/2026	4th	13/2	66%	25%	-0.41